Online
Commentary
Time
to Break the Deadlock
By
Aung Naing Oo
Aung
San Suu Kyi, Burma’s pro-democracy leader and Nobel Laureate, will spend her
60th birthday this Sunday, June 19, in isolation. By this time next week, she
will have spent more than two years under house arrest, her third term of
detention since her first arrest in 1989. The Burmese military regime has
gained little from keeping her in detention. It must therefore reconsider its
strategies in dealing with the opposition icon.
The
junta leaders clearly do not consider her a key partner in any political
transition. For this reason, she has been the junta’s main obstacle in its
efforts to rule Burma without opposition—whether she is free or under
detention. Indeed, the junta knew as early as 1988 that she would pose a major
problem for them. Even though they did all they could do to stop Suu Kyi, her
fiery speeches and charms won the hearts of the Burmese. Her election
campaigns in 1989 with her party, the National League for Democracy, attracted
thousands of Burmese wherever she went. Then despite being under house
arrest, she overwhelmingly won the general election in 1990. But the junta
broke their promise to transfer power, ignored the election and continued to
detain her.
The
junta finally released her in July 1995 once they were confident they were in
control of the situation. But no sooner was she released from house arrest
than she renewed her political activities. The generals continued to ignore
her call for dialogue, and instead placed numerous restrictions on her. She
defied the ban to travel outside the capital Rangoon, which embarrassed the
junta as their attempt to prevent her outings aroused international attention
and condemnation.
After
a trip to the Irrawaddy delta in 1999 she was forced back to Rangoon and
placed under house arrest for the second time. She was released again in
May 2002, only to be detained once again exactly a year later in May 2003
after a mob attacked her and her entourage at Depayin, central Burma.
The
regime’s indecisiveness over whether to keep Suu Kyi free or under house
arrest reflects its obvious lack of strategy on how to deal with her.
Switching back and forth between these two positions, the generals treat her
as a despised pariah, trying to sideline and belittle her. But this has not
succeeded, as her popularity remains intact despite languishing under
detention.
It
is evident the regime has not achieved its goals, and as Suu Kyi’s birthday
nears the calls worldwide for her release mount. Even Rangoon’s assumption
of Asean’s rotating chairmanship is being jeopardized because she has not
been freed. Calls for her release promise only to increase as the time draws
nearer.
Suu
Kyi is the rallying cry for anti-military feelings in Burma, and indeed for
world democracy and peace. Since she is a political liability for the regime,
it must try to turn her into an asset rather than an obstacle. To do this the
regime must bring her into the open political arena in order to reach a
compromise. This is the only way to end the political crisis in Burma, without
which the political stand-off will continue.
One
way to compromise with her would be to make her a key member of the National
Defense and Security Council as proposed in the draft constitution. The junta
should also consider allowing some ethnic minority representatives to sit on
the council in the name of national reconciliation. Or the junta could
consider appointing her as the head of the newly-created National
Reconciliation Commission to oversee all reconciliation efforts.
On
May 1, the regime published an article urging the NLD and all other national
organizations to respond objectively to the draft constitution. The junta,
however, has yet to talk with Suu Kyi. If it is serious about negotiations, it
must go beyond blaming her and the NLD. There is no better time for dialogue
than now, while she is under detention.
In
a final analysis however, the junta’s compromise alone will not solve
Burma’s problems. There must be compromise on both sides, so Suu Kyi must
accede to some of the junta’s demands too. In this way, everyone will gain.
(June
17, 2005)
Aung
Naing Oo is the author of the Burmese language book “Compromising with the
Burmese generals. The
views express here are solely the opinion of the author. (Kaowao's Editor)